How to Trade the Head and Shoulders Pattern 2

In yesterday’s lesson we looked at the head and shoulders pattern and the reverse head and shoulders pattern; two reversal patterns that you look for at the end of up trends and the end of down trends to signal their reversal. In today’s lesson we are going to look at a specific strategy with entry and exit points for how to trade those chart patterns. So let’s get started.

Let’s start by looking at the strategy for trading the head and shoulders pattern. There’s our head and shoulders pattern that we looked at in the last lesson and the basic strategy here is we’re going trade the break of the neckline. If you remember from our last lesson, once the neckline is broken the pattern is said to be in place. And if you’re looking at an uptrend there and you see that then there’s a good indication there on the break of that neckline and the formation of the head and shoulders pattern that that trend is going to reverse. So we’re going to look to enter short on the break of the neckline.

The target for the trade we are going to get by measuring the distance from the head of the pattern to the neckline, then we’re going to project that down from the break point of the neckline. So after entering the trade on the break, we are going to place our stop-loss just above that right hand shoulder there which is considered the closest resistance.

So, you can see there how we are trading the break of support and then we’re placing our stop-loss just above the nearest resistance level. So let’s look at it here. So we get 430 points by measuring the distance there. We project that downward. After entering on the break, 430 point target there.

We place our stop-loss just above the right hand shoulder. For further confirmation that this is a good trade or a good pattern to enter on, traders are going to look at two things. Firstly, they are going to look for a downward sloping neckline that you can see here.

We have in this pattern as this is further indication that the market is reversing. If that neckline was upward sloping than that would be a sign that this might not be a good pattern to trade this time but since its downward sloping, it looks like it’s a good one to trade.

The second thing they are going to look for is declining volume on each of the rises up. So volume on the head should be lower than volume on the first shoulder. And volume on the right hand shoulder should be lower than the volume going up into the head.

Lastly, traders are going to look for increasing volume on that break of the neckline to verify that that’s a valid break of the support line there. OK, the reverse head and shoulders is basically the mirror image of the opposite of the head and shoulders.

We also are going to get our projected target by measuring the distance from the head to the neckline. We enter on the break there of the resistance this time since we’re flipped upside down.

Project our 610 point target from the break of the resistance line or the neckline there. And then put our stop-loss just above the right hand shoulder there as that is considered the nearest support level.

You can see how that’s sort of a flip or a mirror image of the head and shoulders pattern. Similarly to the head and shoulders pattern, on the reverse head and shoulders pattern traders are going to look for decreasing volume going into the head and then decreasing volume again going into the right hand shoulder.

And this time instead of a downward sloping neckline we are going to look for an upward sloping neckline to indicate and give us further confirmation that the pattern is in place and this might be a good pattern to trade.

Also similarly to the head and shoulders pattern we are going to look for increasing volume on the break of the neckline as further confirmation that that is a true break there. So that’s our lesson for today.

You should have a good understanding of the head and shoulders pattern and the reverse head and shoulders pattern as well as the strategy for trading each of them.

In our next lesson we are going to finish up on reversal patterns by looking at the rising wedge and falling wedge patterns and then we are going to move on to continuation patterns after that.

YouTube Preview Image

The 4th lesson in a series on charting patterns which looks at how to trade the head and shoulders pattern and the reverse had and shoulders pattern for daytraders.

How to Trade the Wedge Chart Pattern Like a Pro

In our last lesson, we looked at specific strategies for trading the head and shoulders pattern and the reverse head and shoulders pattern, two patterns which can be considered reversal patterns when they show upon a chart. In today’s lesson, we’re going to look at something which is known as the wedge pattern, which is unique in the sense that it can be considered either a reversal or a continuation pattern depending on the shape of the pattern and whether it occurs in an uptrend or a downtrend. So let’s get started.

We’re going to start this one out by looking at the falling wedge pattern which is characterized by a pattern which forms when the market makes lower lows and lower highs, with a contracting range. When you find this pattern in a downtrend it’s considered a reversal pattern as the contraction of the range indicates the downtrend is losing steam. When you find this pattern in an uptrend, it is considered a bullish pattern as the market becomes narrower into the correction, indicating that it is running out of steam and the resumption of the uptrend is in the making.

You see here a chart of the dollar index. And you see the downtrend in place there. You can see the falling wedge in place there. And you can see the two lines, the two trend lines coming together as the pattern or the market continues into the downtrend, indicating a contraction of the range and a potential reversal there — which we did actually get, in this instance.

On the opposite side of that, you see the uptrend on the left hand side of the chart here. You see the falling wedge there. You see the contraction of the trend lines on one another, indicating the correction narrowing into the bottom there and indicating a potential continuation of the uptrend. So the market corrects then turns back around into the original uptrend. So you can see why it’s considered a continuation pattern there.

The rising wedge pattern, on the other hand, is characterizes by a pattern which forms when the market makes higher highs and higher lows with a contracting range. When you find this pattern in an uptrend it’s considered a reversal pattern as the contraction of the range indicates that the uptrend is losing steam. When you find this pattern in a downtrend it’s considered a bullish pattern as the market becomes narrower into the correction, indicating that the correction’s running out of steam, and the resumption of the downtrend is in the making.

See here rising wedge. See the start of the downtrend to the left of that. See the break below in the continuation of the downtrend on that. You see the contraction of the two lines together, two lines coming together there. Contraction of the market trend indicating it’s losing steam or that the correction is losing steam and a resumption of the downtrend.

Here we have the uptrend in place. On the left hand side of the chart we see the rising wedge. At the top of that indicating that uptrend is losing steam. And we see the reversal actually coming into play there, as well on this one.

So that’s our lesson for today. You should now have a good understanding of the falling and rising wedge patterns in situations which they’re considered a reversal pattern and continuation pattern.

YouTube Preview Image

The 5th lesson in a series on charting patterns which goes over the rising and falling wedge patterns.

How to Trade the Flag/Pennant Patterns Like a Pro 2

In our last lesson we looked at the flag and pennant chart patterns, two patterns which can be considered continuation patterns when they show up on a chart. In today’s lesson we’re going to look at specific strategies for trading each of these patterns complete with entry and exit points. So, let’s get started.

When you spot a flag pattern in an up trend, this is a bullish sign as the market consolidation which forms the flag is seen as a pause before a resumption of the original up trend. As this is the case when traders spot flags in up trends, they’re going to commonly look to enter a long position.

The point at which they’re going to look to get long is going to be the break point of the upper resistance line of the flag and then the target for the trade is calculated by measuring the flag pole or the distance between the high point of the run up and the low point of the run up that forms the flag and then projecting that distance upward from the break of the top resistance line, alright? The stop is then placed just below the bottom support line of the flag.

We’ve got our chart of rim up from last lesson and we have our bull flag there that we looked at in last lesson. And, we see the break here of the upper resistance line. So, that’s where we’re going to look to get long.

The target for the trade is being calculated by measuring the distance between the top of that pattern there or the top of the run up and the bottom of the run up. You can see it starts there at the bottom with the flag pole and then you can see the top candle there in the middle of the flag.

So, we get 27 points there by subtracting 53, the low, from 80, the high. And, that’s our target for that buy. And then, we place our stop just below the support line there, OK. The strategy for trading the bull pennant is exactly the same as trading the bull flag with one exception and that’s where the stops place. So, let’s look at this.

We have our pennant here. Same thing here as far as we’re looking for a break of the upper line of the pennant just like we did with the flag we have that there. Then we look for the distance between the high point of the move up and a low point and we subtract the low point from the high point, we get three points on the move there.

That is our target for the trade. And then, the stop this time is placed just below the closest troth in the pennant pattern. So, that’s what’s considered the nearest support level there since you have the two conversing trend lines there. So, an important distinction.

OK, the bear flag strategy is similar to the bull flag strategy, it’s just flipped upside down. So, we have our bear flag here. We measure the distance, or sorry, we have the break of the bear flag to the down side, so we’re looking to get short there.

We measure the distance from the top of the move down to the bottom. And we subtract those, we get 15 points. And, that is our target from the break point down when we get short, and then we place our stop just above the resistance line. The bear pennant strategy is exactly the same as the bear flag strategy with the stop being the only exception there again. So, let’s look at this.

We have our bear pennant here. We have the break there to the down side of the pennant, so that’s where we’d look to get short. We measure the distance of the move there, that move downward that’s several candlesticks long. We get seven points is the distance there. So, that’s our target for our short trade. And then, the stop is placed just above the closest peak to the end of the pattern there.

A couple other things to keep in mind here, just as we learned in some of our other lessons, that traders often use volume for confirmation, and this is no exception. Traders like to see volume diminish as the flag and pennant patterns mature and then like to see volume increase on the break of the support or resistance line depending on whether we’re looking at a bull or bear pattern for additional confirmation that this is a good pattern to trade.

You should have a good understanding of how to recognize flag and pennants on a chart and then how to trade each of those patterns. In tomorrow’s lesson we’re going to look at another continuation pattern which is known as the triangle which is similar to the flag and pennant.

YouTube Preview Image

The second lesson in a two part series on trading strategies for trading the flag and pennant chart patterns.

How to Trade the Relative Strength Index (RSI)

In today’s lesson we’re going to look at indicators which are known as oscillators, starting with the one of the most popular oscillators, the RSI. So let’s get started!

An oscillator is a technical indicator which fluctuates above and below a central line and normally has an upper and lower band which indicate overbought and oversold conditions in the market. An exception to this upper and lower band component would be the MACD, which we learned about yesterday, which is an oscillator as well but is not encompassed by an upper and lower band. One of the most popular what’s known as banded oscillators is what’s known as the RSI, which is what we’re going to start our discussion on oscillators with today. The RSI’s best described as an indicator which represents the momentum in a particular financial instrument as well as when it’s reaching extreme levels to the upside which is referred to as overbought conditions or extreme levels to the downside which is referred to as oversold conditions.

The indicator accomplishes this through a formula which compares the size of recent gains for a financial instrument to the size of it’s recent losses. The results are then plotted as a line which fluctuates between 0 and 100. And bands are then placed at 70, which is considered an extreme level to the upside and 30, which is considered an extreme level to the downside.

This is what an oscillator looks like. You can see the price chart there. And you can see the RSI plotted to the bottom. And you can see the central line there at level 50, and the upper band at 70 and the lower band at 30. That’s what an RSI looks like when it’s plotted on a chart. And you can see how it fluctuates above and below those lines. We’re going to look at what that means next.

There’s several different ways that traders use the RSI in their trading. The first is to identify overbought and oversold conditions in the market. As we just talked about when the RSI is below the 30 line, this is considered an oversold level and therefore traders are going to look to trade a reversal of the trend there because the boat is tipped too far to one side so to speak.

The RSI goes below 30, the market bottoms there then turns upward. And then the market continues upward, goes into overbought territory on the RSI, and then you can see it turns downward after that.

The second way that traders use the RSI in their trading is what’s known as RSI divergence, and this is similar to what we learned about with the MACD divergence. If the indicator (the RSI) is trading in the opposite direction or trending in the opposite direction as the price action of the financial instrument that you’re analyzing, this tells you that momentum is waning and therefore that particular financial instrument may be due for reversal.

So, you can see here the market is making a new high, but the RSI is not. And that is a divergence there showing that the market may be running out of steam. In that case it was, and it sold off pretty dramatically right after that.

The third way that traders use this in their trading is known as the centerline crossover. And this you know a less reliable signal than the first two so you definitely going to want to use this one in conjunction with some of the other things that we’ve learned about or some of the things that we’re going to learn about in future lessons.

But basically what this is, is when the RSI crosses above the 50 line that’s considered a bullish sign, and because the market is making more highs and more making more gains than it is losses. When it crosses below that center 50 line that’s considered a bearish sign because the market is making more losses than gains.

You could use that and how it would have actually worked very well recently trading the euro-dollar. You could see there’s a head and shoulders pattern there, that we learned about in one of our previous lessons. And then you can see the RSI makes a bearish crossover confirming, so to speak, that that break below the neckline of the head and shoulders pattern is legitimate. In that case you would caught a nice big candle down, and might catch a few more in the days that come as a result of that confirmation.

So that’s our lesson for today. You should now have a good understanding of the RSI and how traders use this in their trading. And then tomorrow’s lesson we’re going to look at another oscillator which is known as the stochastic oscillators.

YouTube Preview Image

A lesson on how to trade the RSI. In our last lesson we looked at 3 different ways that the MACD indicator can be traded. In today’s lesson we are going to look at a class of indicators which are known as Oscillators with a look at how to trade one of the more popular Oscillators the Relative Strength Index (RSI).

An oscillator is a leading technical indicator which fluctuates above and below a center line and normally has upper and lower bands which indicate overbought and oversold conditions in the market (an exception to this would be the MACD which is an Oscillator as well).

One of the most popular Oscillators outside of the MACD which we have already gone over is the Relative Strength Index (RSI) which is where we will start our discussion. The RSI is best described as an indicator which represents the momentum in a particular financial instrument as well as when it is reaching extreme levels to the upside (referred to as overbought) or downside (referred to as oversold) and is therefore due for a reversal. The indicator accomplishes this through a formula which compares the size of recent gains for a particular financial instrument to the size of recent losses, the results of which are plotted as a line which fluctuates between 0 and 100.

How to Trade the MACD Indicator

Today’s lesson will look at an indicator which is based on moving averages which is known as the Moving Average Convergence/Divergence. So let’s get started.

One of the advantages of using the MACD indicator instead of the moving averages is that the MACD gives you an indication not only of what’s happening with trends in the market but also what’s happening with momentum, so you’re given an addition to the picture there that this indicator paints for you. The indicator is constructed by taking a 12-period exponential moving average of a financial instrument and subtracting its 26-period exponential moving average. The resulting line is then plotted below the price chart and fluctuates above and below a center line which is placed at value zero. A nine-period exponential moving average of that MACD line is normally plotted along with the line and is used as a signal of potential trading opportunities which we are going to look at in our next lessons.

Look at what this looks like on a chart. You can see here the MACD below the price chart and you can see here the black line is the MACD line and the blue line is the nine-period exponential moving average of that black MACD line which is the signal line. OK.

Now, when the MACD line is above zero this tells the trader that the 12-period exponential moving average is trading above the 26-period exponential moving average and when the MACD line is below zero this tells the trader that the 12-period exponential moving average is below the 26-period exponential moving average.

So that it is the simplest, the first thing that this is, is an easier way to look at a moving average crossover system. Traders are going to watch the MACD line and when it’s above zero and rising, they’re going to look at this as a sign of positive bullish momentum in the market as the gap, the positive gap, between the exponential moving averages is widening.

When it’s below zero and falling, they’re going to look at this as a bearish sign for the market as this indicates that the negative gap between the two moving averages is widening. So you can see here the MACD line is above zero and rising and that is bullish and you can see here it is below zero and falling and that is bearish, so it did play out there for us.

The purpose of the nine-period exponential moving average is to further confirm the bullish changes in momentum when the MACD crosses above the zero line and the bearish changes in momentum when the MACD crosses below the zero line. You can see here the MACD crossing above the signal line is further confirmation that there’s a bullish momentum in the market.

You can see here it crossing below and it actually crosses below at the top peak of the market there and that was a bearish sign and that was a very good signal that this particular indicator caught to the bearish side because the market did sell off after that. Lastly, mini-traders and charting packages will plot a histogram along with the MACD which is representative of the distance between the MACD and its signal line.

When the MACD histogram is above the zero line, this is an indication that positive momentum is increasing. Conversely, when the MACD histogram is below the zero line, this is an indication that the negative momentum is increasing. OK.

You should now have a good understanding of the different components of the MACD and in our next lesson we’re going to look at exactly how you can use some of the signals that this indicator generates in your trading and how you can use those actually to place trades and how you can actually use the indicator to get it a feel for direction in the market and momentum in the market.

YouTube Preview Image

How to trade the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) in the stock, futures, and forex markets. The indicator, which was developed by Gerald Appel, is constructed by taking a 12 period exponential moving average of a financial instrument and subtracting its 26 period exponential moving average.

The resulting line is then plotted below the price chart and fluctuates above and below a center line which is placed at value zero. A 9 period EMA of the MACD line is normally plotted along with the MACD line and used as a signal of potential trading opportunities in the stock, futures and forex markets. When the MACD line is above zero this tells the trader that the 12 period exponential moving average is trading above the 26 period exponential moving averages.

When the MACD line is below zero this tells the trader that the 12 period exponential moving average is below the 26 period exponential moving average. Traders will watch the MACD line as when it is above zero and rising this is a sign that the positive gap between the 12 and 26 EMA’s is widening, a sign of increasing bullish momentum in the financial instrument they are analyzing.

Conversely when the MACD line is below zero and falling this represents a widening in the negative gap between the 12 and 26 day EMA’s, a sign of increasing bearish momentum in the financial instrument they are analyzing.

See Trade the MACD Indicator Like a Pro Part 2 >>

How to Trade Triangle Chart Patterns

In our last lesson we learned about the flag and pennant chart patterns as well as strategies for trading each when we find them in an uptrend or down trend. In today’s lesson, we’re going to look at a similar chart pattern which is known as the triangle chart pattern, so that we can then learn some strategies for trading this chart pattern.

The triangle pattern can be broken down into three categories. And these are the ascending triangle, the descending triangle, and the symmetrical triangle. While the shape of the triangle is significant, of more importance is the direction that the market moves when it breaks out of the triangle. Lastly, while triangles can sometimes be reversal patterns, they are normally seen as continuation patterns. So let’s take a look here. Start with the ascending triangle here, and the ascending triangle is formed when the market makes higher lows and the same level highs. OK. These patterns are normally seen in an uptrend and viewed as a continuation pattern as the bulls gain more and more control running up to the top resistance line of the pattern. While you normally see this pattern in an uptrend, if you do see it in a down trend, it should be paid special attention to as it can be seen as a powerful reversal signal if it does show up in a down trend.

Chart of Walgreen Company here. And you see the higher lows there. All right. And then you see the same level highs. And what that indicates there is that as the market and the buyers continue to bump up against that top resistance line, you can see they’re gaining more and more control.

As the market does sell off but it sells off less and less as the pattern matures, indicating that the buyers are getting more and more control. And therefore, a lot of traders are going to look for a break out there of the top line to be imminent in that situation.

The descending triangle is basically the opposite or the ascending triangle flipped upside down. So you can see that this is formed when lower highs and the same level lows are made. These patterns are normally seen in a down trend and viewed as continuation patterns as the bears gain more and more control running down to the bottom support line, in this case, not the resistance line.

And while you normally see this pattern in a down trend, like the ascending triangle, if you do see this in the opposite trend, which is the uptrend in this case, you should pay special attention because this can be seen as a powerful reversal signal.

We have a chart of the dollar/yen here. And we see the lower highs there and then the same level lows. So you can see, basically, flipped upside down there. And again here, what the market is showing from a supply/demand perspective and why this pattern is paid attention to is because as the lower highs are made, it indicates that the buyers are having less and less control running down into the support line. And the sellers are getting more and more control and therefore, a lot of traders will look at that as the break at that bottom support line is imminent there.

The symmetrical triangle is unique in the sense that a lot of times you’re going to see this, not in the uptrend or a down trend, but in a directionless market as neither the bulls or the bears or the buyers or the sellers are in control of the market. So we see a contracting range and a directionless contracting range. So unlike the rising or falling wedge, the triangle which is similar to those, points off to the side indicating that neither the buyers nor the sellers are having any control over the market.

And this is formed when the market makes lower highs and higher lows and basically, is going to be seen, if it is in an uptrend or a down trend, is going to be seen as a continuation or reversal pattern depending on which way it breaks out of the pattern. So we can see here the lower highs and then the higher lows forming the pattern, the contraction there. And eventually the market does break out of the bottom of that pattern. And when it does, it breaks out pretty forcefully as you can see there.

The pattern matures the range gets narrower and narrower indicating that neither the buyers nor the sellers have control. So once the pattern does break, that’s an indication that the sellers have taken control in this instance, and therefore the markets have broken pretty significantly there. OK.

You should now have a good understanding of the different types of triangle patterns and what each signifies. In our next lesson, we’re going to go over strategies for trading each of these patterns complete with entry and exit points.

YouTube Preview Image

The first lesson in a two part series on how to identify and trade the ascending, descending, and symmetrical triangle chart patterns using technical analysis in the futures market, forex market and stock market for day traders and investors.

See How to Trade Triangle Chart Patterns Like a Pro Part 2 >>

How to Trade Moving Averages Like a Pro

In today’s lesson, we’re going to look at one of the more popular technical indicators, the moving average.

There are several types of moving averages which we’re going to look at here, all of which are used by traders to try and smooth out price action of a financial instrument and get a better feel for the longer term direction without all the noise that’s often associated with just looking at price.

In addition to getting a better feel for the longer term trend of a financial instrument, most averages are also used to spot potential support and resistance levels, and are often used in conjunction with one another to generate buy and sell signals.

Before we get into the details, however, let’s first have a look at the two main types of moving averages; the simple moving average and the exponential moving average. The simple moving average is the most basic type of moving average and it’s calculated by taking the past X number of points, averaging them and then plotting the resulting line on a chart.

The reason why it’s called a moving average is because as new data points become available, the average moves forward to incorporate the new data point and drops the last data point in the series.

For example, if we’re looking at a financial instrument here that has the following 10 days – let’s look at a 10 period simple moving average, 10 day moving average. How we would calculate the first data point there is we would take the sum of day one through 10, divide that by 10 and then we would get 5.2 for the first data point, using this as an example.

To get the second data point, the 10 days used would be day two through day 11 as the moving average shifts forward after the close of day 11 of trading. So we would then – the 10 days used would be day two through day 11, divide that by 10 and we get 5.4.

You don’t really need to understand all the math behind this as most charting packets, if not all charting packages, will calculate the simple moving average for you and plot it on the chart. That’s what it looks like there. You can see how the price action is smoothed out using the moving average.

The exponential moving average was basically created to do away with some of the weaknesses that traders were sighting with the simple moving average, primarily that the simple moving average gives the same weight to each data point in the series that you’re using to calculate the data points of the simple moving average.

And basically, the critics say there that the more recent data points, if we’re looking at 10 day moving average day – say nine and 10 – should be given more weight because they’re more relevant to future price action. So the exponential moving average, it was created – what it does is it gives more weight to the more recent data points and, therefore, it reacts faster to price movement.

So here’s the formula for the exponential moving average. I’m not going to go into the details on this one because it’s much more complicated. But basically, you just need to understand that the simple moving average is going to react slower than the exponential moving average because it’s giving the same weight to the first data point in the series as it does to the last where exponential moving averages are going to give more weight to the last data point in the series than they are to the first.

Here’s an example of what an exponential moving average looks like on the chart. You can’t really tell the difference there, but I’ve included both here. The black line in this case is the exponential moving average. The blue line is the simple moving average.

You can see here that the black exponential moving average line is reacting faster. As the market turns down there on the left, the black exponential moving average line turns down much quicker than the blue simple moving average line there on the right when the market turns up. Again, there you see the black exponential moving average line moving up faster than the blue simple moving average.

As far as which moving average traders use in their trading – in general, it’s going to depend on the timeframe of their trades. If a trader is looking to capture shorter term price moves, a lot of times he’ll use the exponential moving average because it’s going to react faster if he’s looking to capture longer-term price moves, he’s going to focus on the simple moving average because it’s going to generate less faults trading signals.

Lastly, they’ll also look at the financial instrument that they’re trading and the price action in relation to both the moving averages historically and incorporate their strategy into that and look at which has given better trading signals based on their strategy and the financial instrument that they’re looking to trade.

So that’s our lesson for today. In tomorrow’s lesson, we’re going to look at some different ways that traders use moving averages to trade, so we hope to see you in that lesson. As always, if you have any questions or comments, please feel free to leave them in the comment section below. And have a great day!

YouTube Preview Image

The basics of trading with moving averages in two lessons for active day traders and investors in the stock market, futures market, and Forex markets.

See How to Trade Moving Averages Like a Pro Part 2 >>

How to Trade the Flag Pennant Patterns Like a Pro

In our last lesson, we looked at strategies for trading the rising wedge and falling wedge chart patterns; two patterns which can be considered either reversal or continuation patterns, depending on how they show up on a chart.

We start our series on continuation patterns by learning about the flag and pennant patterns so that we can then look at strategies for trading each of these patterns. So let’s get started.

Flags and pennants are generally seen after a big move in one direction in a particular financial instrument and represent brief consolidations or pauses in the market before a resumption of the trend in which they occurred. The flag and pennant patterns both contain a flagpole which is represented by the sharp move upwards or downwards which sets up the consolidation. Then the flag is represented by a consolidation which can be encompassed by a rectangular formation, and a pennant is represented by a consolidation which needs to be encompassed by a triangle.

When a flag or pennant occurs in an uptrend, a break of the top resistance line can be seen or is oftentimes looked at as a resumption of the uptrend. And conversely, when a flag or pennant occurs in a downtrend, a break of the bottom support line can often be seen as a resumption of the downtrend.

So let’s look at a couple of examples here. We have a chart of Research in Motion here (RIM). Towards the right-hand side of the chart, you can see a little jump in the market there, and then the consolidation which we can encompass with two parallel lines, so that forms our flag portion of the pattern.

And then the flagpole is represented by the up move in the market, OK. so you can see the flagpole and the flag there.

Now, for flag patterns, the flag portion of the pattern can be either pointed directly to the side or slanted downward as we here; both are relevant flag patterns there and you can see the market breaking out above that and making a pretty good run after the breakout of the top of that flag pattern.

Because this flag pattern occurred in an uptrend and it was after a big jump upwards in the market, it’s known as a bull flag.

Here, we have a chart of Travel Zoo and we can see here we have our flag portion, a brief consolidation in the market after our move downward which is represented by the flagpole.

It’s basically the exact same as the bull flag example, except flipped upside down because we’re in a downtrend here, we have a big move downward, then a brief consolidation in the market before resumption of the downtrend. So you can see there.

And again here. The flag portion of the pattern can be represented by a rectangle that either points directly to the side or slightly upwards; either would be considered a valid flag pattern.

OK. So for the pennant pattern, the difference between a flag and a pennant is when a pennant is formed, the consolidation after the big move upwards or downwards narrows as it matures.

So we can see here a chart of, again, research in motion. We see a pennant formed here, and then our flagpole representing the move upward. Then we see the breakout above the top portion of the pennant.

And again here, just as with the flag, the pennant can point directly to the side or slightly downward and both would be considered valid moves there, and again here because this is an uptrend that’s represented. It’s considered a bull pennant.

OK. So here, we have a bear example. And again, just flipped upside down. Chart of Starbucks. You can see the consolidation narrowing there after the big move downward and representing the flagpole, and then you see the breakout below. OK.

You should now have a good understanding of flag and pennant patterns, and which is considered a bull flag and which is considered a bear flag, as well as with the pennants.

YouTube Preview Image

In this lesson we learn about what flag and pennant patterns are in technical analysis and how to identify them on charts in the stock market, futures market, and forex market for day traders and investors.

How to Trade Triangle Chart Patterns Like a Pro Part 2

In our last lesson, we learned about the different chart types of triangle chart patterns: the ascending triangle, descending triangle and symmetrical triangle. In today’s lesson, we’re going to learn specific strategies for trading each of these patterns, complete with entry and exit points. So let’s get started.

The direction in which the market breaks out of the triangle, and whether the market is in an uptrend or downtrend, determines whether the pattern is a continuation or a reversal pattern, and therefore whether traders are going to look to get long or go short as a result of the breakout. As with other patterns that we’ve recently learned about, when traders spot an ascending triangle, which we’re going to start with, they will look to trade the break of the upper resistance line. The target is then derived by measuring the distance between the starting high point of the ascending triangle, and the starting low point of the triangle, which is then projected upward from the break point.

The stop is then placed just below the most recent trough of the patterns. So let’s look at an example here. We’ve got our ascending triangle that we learned about in last lesson. We have the break. We then measure the distance between the high and the low of the start of the pattern, and we get five points. So that is our target for the buy entry of the trade, and then we place our stop just below the most recent trough of the pattern. OK?

The descending triangle is basically just the opposite. It’s a mirror image. We’re normally going to see these in down trends, and we’re going to look to trade, or traders are going to commonly look to trade the break of the lower support line. The target is then calculated in the same way as the ascending triangle, by measuring the distance between the high and the low points, and then projecting that distance downward from the break.

The stop is then placed just above the nearest peak. Here’s our descending triangle. You can see there, the same one from last lesson. We see the break here. We see the distance between, or measure the distance between the high and low at the start of the pattern. We get 800 points there, so that’s our target for the trade. And then we place our stop just above the most recent peak. All right.

The symmetrical triangle can be seen in either up trends, down trends, or most of the time it is commonly seen in directionless markets. As it’s an indication that neither bulls or bears are winning out. That’s why the market range contracts as they continue to fight each other.

That’s why traders are going to look to trade in the direction of the breakout. It doesn’t matter which side it breaks out on, because the break out is an indication of the side that’s won. So if it breaks to the upside, the bulls have won, if it breaks to the downside, the bears have won.

We’ve got our symmetrical triangle here that we’ve looked at from last lesson, and in this instance, it’s broken to the downside, so traders are going to look to get short there, commonly. And the target is measured in the same way as it is with the other two triangles, by getting the distance at the start. So this case, it’s 1050. Project that downward, and that’s our target for the trade.

And then the stop, because it’s broken to the upside, is placed just above the most recent peak. If that trade had broken to the upside, or if the market had broken to the upside of the symmetrical triangle there, then everything would be done in reverse. All right.

As with our other lessons, and the other patterns that we’ve looked at recently, in those volume is often looked to as a confirmation of all three of these patterns. Traders are going to like to see a decrease in volume as the pattern matures, and then an increase in volume on the break, of the break out from the triangle. So keep that in mind just as with our other strategies that we’ve looked at most recently.

All right. That’s our lesson for today, and that’s going to complete our lessons on charting patterns. In our next lesson, we’re going to start to look at a trading indicators, or technical indicators, which are going to be good for complementing a lot of the stuff that we’ve learned so far.

YouTube Preview Image

The second lesson on how to identify and trade triangle chart patterns in the stock market, forex market, and futures market using technical analysis.

Trade the MACD Indicator Like a Pro Part 2

Because the MACD indicator is a trending indicator, you’re going to want to shy away from using it when the market is in a range, even to try and predict new trends. So in addition to being able to tell whether the financial instrument that you’re analyzing is in a trend just by simply looking at the chart, you can also get a better indication of whether it’s in a trend or not and how strong that trend is by looking at the MACD indicator.

And how you tell that is if the MACD indicator is close to zero, close to the zero line, then that’s an indication of a range bound market.

So you can see here that the MACD is close to zero and there you’re in a range bound market conditions, where over here it shows the right-hand side of the chart. You’re trending up away from zero and that’s an indication of a pretty strong trend in the market there.

So once you’ve determined that the market is in a range, there’s a couple of different ways that you can trade the MACD. Which we’re going to look at first, something called the MACD divergence.

Basically, very simply, this means when the indicator, the MACD indicator, is trading in the opposite direction of the market, that’s a signal that the trend that’s in place there may be due for a reversal.

So you can see here that the market is making new highs here, but the MACD is actually trading down and that’s an indication that that trend is running out of steam. If it was a down trend there that we were looking at and the MACD was trading up, that would be an indication that the down trend was losing steam.

But here we have our uptrend and we can see here by looking at the MACD that that uptrend might be in danger. You can see the market did sell off, although it did take a little while.

Like all the other indicators that we’re going to look at, you’re going to want to use this in conjunction with some of the things that we’ve learned so far to confirm your signals there, but you can see that that diversion is there and it did call the market top there. It just took a little while.

The second way is what’s known as the MACD crossover. Very simply, when the MACD line crosses above the signal line, this is a bullish sign and some traders will trade this as a buy signal and when it crosses below the signal line, then that is a sell signal and traders will look to go short or exit their long positions on that cross.

Again, this can be traded by itself, although not recommended. It’s recommended to trade that if you’re going to trade it in line or in conjunction with some other indicators and some other of the things that we’ve learned so far, but it can also be used as additional confirmation for other things that you may be trading.

So you can see here, great buy signal. It caught the very bottom of the trend there and then great exit there. It caught the very top and got you out there. So a good indicator, but because it generates lots of signals, it’s also going to generate a lot of bad signal in addition to the good ones, so you want to have some confirmation there. So you can see the market went up there as a result of that.

All right. That’s our lesson for today. Since there’s a lot of different ways that you can trade the MACD and a lot of people have a lot of different opinions on some of the inputs for the indicator and exactly when to use it, and what markets to use it in and those types of things. You should now have a good understanding of the three main ways that traders look to trade the MACD indicator.

YouTube Preview Image

The second lesson of two on how to trade the moving average convergence divergence (MACD) for day traders and investors using technical analysis in the stock market, futures market, and forex market. The link that I reference in my video is here: www.informedtrades.com

In addition to being able to tell if the stock, futures contract, or currency you are analyzing is trending or not from simply looking at its price action on the chart, you can also use the MACD indicator. Very simply if the MACD line is at or close to the zero line, this indicates that the financial instrument you are analyzing is not exhibiting strong trending characteristics, and thus should not be traded using the MACD.

Example of Trending and Non Trending Markets Once it is determined that the financial instrument you are analyzing is exhibiting trending characteristics, there are three ways that you can trade the MACD. 1. Positive and Negative Divergence 2. The MACD/Signal Line Crossover 3.

The zero line crossover Trading the MACD Divergence: Divergence occurs when the direction of the MACD is not moving in the same direction of the financial instrument you are analyzing. This can be seen as an indication that the upward or downward momentum in the market is failing. Traders will thus look to trade the reversal of the trend and consider this signal particularly strong when the market is making a new high or low and the MACD is not.